Lazard CEO Peter Orszag: Expect some upward pressure on core inflation going into early next year

Economic Overview - The economy is described as being in decent shape, with some weakening in the labor market and a slight decline in consumer sentiment [2][9] - There is an expectation of upward pressure on inflation due to the gradual adjustment to tariffs, with only about 25% of the tariff impact passed through to consumer prices so far [3][4] Federal Reserve and Inflation - The Federal Reserve faces a challenging situation with conflicting mandates of managing inflation and supporting the labor market, especially if inflation pressures materialize while the job market weakens [6][5] - The market reacted positively to weaker PPI numbers, suggesting that the Fed may have room to cut rates [4] CEO Sentiment and Market Activity - CEO sentiment remains very positive despite uncertainties in the geopolitical landscape and the economy [11][12] - There is a notable increase in M&A activity as large companies consider significant transactions, driven by demand from private equity investors [13][14] Lazard's Performance and Strategy - Lazard has achieved a 100% total shareholder return over the past two years, attributed to internal steps and favorable market conditions [14] - The company is focused on recruiting high-quality talent and has met its productivity targets ahead of schedule [16] - Lazard's asset management business has seen net positive flows year-to-date, with a new CEO joining to drive further growth [17] Technological Advancements - The integration of AI is expected to enhance Lazard's growth and improve the quality of advice provided to clients [17][18]