Di Yi Cai Jing·2025-09-11 13:29Core Viewpoint - HPV vaccine manufacturers are currently facing performance declines, but the recent inclusion of HPV vaccines in the national immunization program may provide a potential boost to the industry [1][2]. Industry Overview - There are currently six HPV vaccines listed in China, including three bivalent, one quadrivalent, and two nonavalent vaccines [2]. - The HPV vaccination market in China has become competitive, with initial high demand now facing challenges due to increased competition, low public awareness, and limited payment capabilities [2]. Company Performance - WanTai Bio achieved revenue of 844 million yuan in the first half of the year, a year-on-year decline of 38.25%, with a net loss of 144 million yuan [3]. - Watson Bio reported revenue of 1.154 billion yuan, down 19.47%, and a net profit of 43.16 million yuan, down 74.69% [3]. - Zhifei Biological's revenue was 4.919 billion yuan, a decrease of 73.06%, with a net loss of 597 million yuan, reflecting a decline of 126.72% [3][4]. - Companies are facing challenges in sales, leading to asset impairment provisions, including a 76.3 million yuan impairment for bivalent HPV vaccine intangible assets by Watson Bio [3]. Market Demand and Health Impact - Cervical cancer is the fourth most common malignancy among women globally, with significant incidence and mortality rates in China, particularly among younger women [5]. - The World Health Organization recommends that countries include HPV vaccination in their national immunization programs, prioritizing girls aged 9 to 14 [5][6]. National Immunization Program Inclusion - As of the end of 2024, 143 out of 194 WHO member countries have included HPV vaccines in their national immunization programs, but China has not yet done so [6]. - Several regions in China are already offering free HPV vaccinations for eligible girls, indicating a growing trend towards public health initiatives [7]. - The current lowest price for HPV vaccines is 27.5 yuan per dose, significantly lower than initial prices, making it more accessible [7]. - If included in the national immunization program, bivalent HPV vaccines are expected to see increased sales, although profit margins may be lower compared to local immunization programs [7].