Can Tavalisse Drive Rigel's Growth Through the Rest of 2025?

Core Insights - Rigel Pharmaceuticals' primary revenue driver is Tavalisse, which is crucial for the company's top-line growth [1][3] Product Overview - Tavalisse is an FDA-approved oral spleen tyrosine kinase (SYK) inhibitor for adult patients with chronic immune thrombocytopenia (ITP) who have not responded adequately to previous treatments [2] - The drug is also approved in several regions including Europe, the UK, Japan, and others [2] Sales Performance - In the first half of 2025, Tavalisse generated sales of $68.5 million, reflecting a year-over-year increase of approximately 44% [3][10] - Continued strong demand from new patients is expected to sustain sales momentum into the second half of 2025 [3] Revenue Guidance - Rigel has raised its total revenue guidance for 2025 to a range of $270-$280 million, up from the previous estimate of $200-$210 million [6][10] - Net product sales are now projected to be between $210-$220 million, an increase from the earlier guidance of $185-$192 million [7] Competitive Landscape - The approval of Sanofi's Wayrilz (rilzabrutinib), a novel BTK inhibitor for ITP, poses a competitive threat to Tavalisse despite differing mechanisms of action [8] - Wayrilz is the first BTK inhibitor approved by the FDA for ITP treatment in the U.S. and is under review in the EU and China [8] Market Performance - Year-to-date, Rigel's shares have increased by 116.9%, significantly outperforming the industry average of 12.9% [9] - The stock is currently trading at a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 2.47, slightly below the industry average of 2.48 [11] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings per share (EPS) has risen from $2.25 to $5.10 over the past 60 days, with 2026 EPS estimates increasing from $1.60 to $3.07 [12] Company Ranking - Rigel currently holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), indicating strong market confidence [16]