Market Performance - The S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrials, and Nasdaq 100 all reached new record highs, with the S&P 500 closing up +0.85%, Dow up +1.36%, and Nasdaq up +0.60% [1][2] - Overseas markets also showed positive performance, with the Euro Stoxx 50 up +0.47%, Shanghai Composite up +1.65%, and Japan's Nikkei Stock 225 up +1.22% [5] Economic Indicators - US weekly initial unemployment claims rose unexpectedly by +27,000 to a 3.75-year high of 263,000, indicating a weaker labor market than anticipated [3] - The August Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased to +2.9% year-over-year, aligning with expectations, while CPI excluding food and energy remained unchanged at +3.1% [3] Federal Reserve Expectations - Markets are pricing in a 100% chance of a -25 basis point rate cut at the upcoming FOMC meeting on September 16-17, with a 9% chance of a -50 basis point cut [4] - An overall -72 basis point reduction in the federal funds rate is anticipated by year-end, bringing it down to 3.61% from the current 4.33% [4][6] Company Movements - Micron Technology rose more than +7% after Citigroup raised its price target to $175 from $150, leading gains in semiconductor stocks [11] - Home builders and suppliers saw gains as the 10-year T-note yield fell to a 5-month low, which is expected to lower mortgage rates and support housing demand [12] - Warner Bros Discovery surged more than +28% on reports of a potential acquisition bid from Paramount Skydance [13] - Avidity Biosciences fell more than -11% after announcing a $500 million public offering of its common stock [16]
Stocks Climb to Record Highs on the Outlook for Fed Rate Cuts