Stocks & Index Items to Watch from August's CPI Data

Inflation Overview - The consumer price index (CPI) rose 2.9% year over year in August compared to 2.7% in July, with a month-over-month increase of 0.4% compared to July's 0.2% [2] - Core CPI remained unchanged, reflecting a 0.3% monthly and 3.1% annual increase, indicating stability in underlying inflation trends [2] Shelter Costs - Shelter costs increased by 0.4% in August, contributing significantly to the CPI's monthly rise, with rent up by 0.3% and lodging away from home rising by 2.3% [4] - Homebuilder stocks, such as Toll Brothers (TOL), may become more attractive as rising rent prices could drive more buyers to the market, especially with mortgage rates at their lowest in a year [5] Food Prices - Overall monthly food costs rose by 0.5% and 2.7% annually, with food at home increasing by 0.6% monthly and food away from home by 0.3% monthly [7] - Retailers like Walmart (WMT) may benefit from the increase in food costs, while premium dining establishments like Chipotle (CMG) are experiencing reduced consumer spending [9][10] Energy Sector - Monthly energy costs increased by 0.7% and were up 2.2% year over year, driven by a 1.9% rise in gasoline prices [11] - Oil companies such as Exxon Mobil (XOM) and Chevron (CVX) could capitalize on higher energy prices, especially if geopolitical tensions affect crude oil supply [12] Transportation Services - Used car and truck prices rose by 1.0% monthly and 6.0% annually, while airline fares increased by 5.9% month over month [13] - Long-term investment opportunities may arise in major automakers like General Motors (GM) and airlines like Delta Air Lines (DAL), which are expected to navigate inflationary pressures effectively [14] Apparel Industry - Apparel costs increased by 0.5% monthly and 0.2% annually, indicating tariff-driven inflation [15] - Companies with strong brand recognition and pricing power, such as Ralph Lauren (RL), may perform better despite overall consumer spending declines in the apparel sector [15][16]