What's Happening With Nokia Stock?

Core Insights - Nokia's stock has increased by 11% over the past month, outperforming the S&P 500's 2% rise, driven by a multi-year 5G automation deal with AT&T and the EU's approval of its $2.3 billion acquisition of Infinera [2] - The company reported Q2 2025 revenue of €4.93 billion ($5.8 billion), a 1.8% year-over-year increase, and a net profit of €96 million, marking a return to profitability [3] - Nokia has reduced its operating profit guidance for 2025 to €1.6 billion–€2.1 billion, down from €1.9 billion–€2.4 billion, due to a weaker U.S. dollar and tariff-related costs [4] - Currently trading at approximately $4.60 per share, Nokia's valuation is around 15× consensus 2025 earnings, which is a premium compared to Ericsson's ~13× forward earnings [5] - Despite short-term financial challenges, Nokia's strategic successes and investor confidence may support its stock momentum [6] Financial Performance - Nokia's Q2 2025 revenue was €4.93 billion ($5.8 billion), reflecting a 1.8% increase year-over-year [3] - The net profit for Q2 2025 was €96 million, indicating a return to profitability after a loss in the previous year [3] - Operating profit guidance for 2025 has been cut to €1.6 billion–€2.1 billion, down from €1.9 billion–€2.4 billion, due to external economic pressures [4] Market Position and Valuation - Nokia's stock is currently valued at approximately $4.60 per share, translating to around 15× consensus 2025 earnings, which is higher than Ericsson's valuation [5] - The company is experiencing mixed fundamentals, with modest revenue growth and margin pressures, despite recent stock rallies [5] Strategic Developments - The appointment of Justin Hotard as CEO signals Nokia's commitment to AI infrastructure and data centers [4] - Recent strategic wins, including the AT&T deal and Infinera acquisition, enhance Nokia's market presence and capabilities in optical networking [2]