财务承压、估值波动，金晟新能负重闯关IPO

Core Viewpoint - The company, Guangdong Jingsheng New Energy Co., Ltd., is attempting to list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange for the second time after its initial application lapsed in December 2024, amid significant financial losses and market volatility in the lithium battery recycling sector [1]. Financial Performance - The company has experienced a "roller coaster" financial performance, with revenues declining from 29.05 billion yuan in 2022 to 9.37 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, indicating a continuous downward trend [2]. - The company reported a profit of 1.51 billion yuan in 2022 but has since incurred losses of 4.71 billion yuan in 2023, 3.44 billion yuan in 2024, and 1.44 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, totaling over 10 billion yuan in losses over the past three and a half years [2]. Market Conditions - The core reason for the company's losses is attributed to the drastic decline in prices of lithium carbonate, nickel, and cobalt, leading to a situation where product prices are lower than production costs [2]. - The average price of lithium carbonate plummeted from 426,900 yuan per ton in 2022 to 62,300 yuan per ton in the first half of 2025, representing a cumulative decline of over 80% [4]. Customer Concentration - The company's sales are heavily reliant on a few major clients, with revenue from the top five customers accounting for 52.7% to 67.3% of total revenue during the reporting period, indicating increasing customer concentration [2]. - The largest single customer contributed 13.9% to 45.2% of total revenue over the same period, raising concerns about the company's dependency on a limited customer base [2]. Accounts Receivable - The turnover days for trade receivables increased from 38 days in 2022 to 56 days in the first half of 2025, a nearly 50% rise, which is significantly higher than the industry average [3]. - The high customer concentration and low collection efficiency create a negative feedback loop, where major clients demand extended payment terms, increasing the risk of bad debts for the company [3]. Valuation and Ownership - The company was founded by the Li brothers in 2010 and has undergone multiple rounds of financing, with its valuation fluctuating significantly, peaking at 12 billion yuan in March 2023 and dropping to 6.2 billion yuan in July 2024 before recovering to 7.6 billion yuan in November 2024 [5]. - The current valuation has decreased by over 30% from its peak, reflecting the volatility in the industry [5]. Strategic Direction - In response to industry fluctuations, the company aims to establish a closed-loop industry model from "recycling to regeneration" to mitigate reliance on market conditions for profitability [5].