PayPal vs. StoneCo: Which Fintech Stock Offers Greater Upside Now?

Core Insights - The fintech industry is highly competitive, with PayPal and StoneCo as prominent players, each focusing on different market segments [1][2] - PayPal is evolving into a comprehensive commerce ecosystem, while StoneCo is concentrating on micro, small, and medium-sized businesses in Brazil and Latin America [1][2] PayPal Overview - PayPal is focusing on four strategic growth pillars: winning checkout, scaling omni, growing Venmo, and driving PSP profitability [3] - Venmo's revenue increased over 20% in Q2, with total payment volume (TPV) growing 12%, marking the highest growth rate in three years [3] - Branded checkout is a significant growth driver, with over 60% of branded volume in the U.S. flowing through PayPal's enhanced platform [4] - PayPal launched PayPal World, a global wallet partnership, expanding access to over 2 billion consumers [5] - Despite a 6% rise in TPV, payment transactions fell by 5%, indicating some engagement challenges [6] StoneCo Overview - StoneCo reported a 27% year-over-year growth in adjusted net income and a consolidated ROE of 22% in Q2 2025 [7] - The company is divesting non-core assets to focus on financial services, targeting a total addressable market of BRL 100 billion [7] - The MSMB payments segment grew, with a 17% increase in active clients and a 12% rise in total payment volume [8] - Banking active clients increased by 23% to 3.3 million, with client deposits up 36% year over year [9] - StoneCo's disciplined approach to credit provisioning and funding costs supports its growth strategy [10] Financial Performance and Estimates - PayPal's 2025 sales and EPS estimates suggest increases of 3.97% and 12.47%, respectively [11] - StoneCo's 2025 sales are expected to rise by 7.56%, with EPS projected to jump by 14.07% [12] - PayPal shares are trading at a forward P/E of 11.99X, while StoneCo is at 10.93X [14] Market Positioning - Over the past three months, StoneCo has outperformed PayPal and the S&P 500 [15] - PayPal's global scale and diverse offerings appeal to investors, while StoneCo's focus on Brazil's MSMB segment presents significant growth potential [18] - StoneCo is viewed as a more compelling buy for growth-oriented investors, currently holding a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) compared to PayPal's Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) [19]