Globalstar Surges 37% in Three Months: Is the Stock Still a Buy?

Core Insights - Globalstar, Inc. (GSAT) stock has increased by 37.3% over the past three months, but this is significantly lower than the Satellite and Communication Industry's growth of 141.8% [1][8] - The company reported second-quarter revenues of $67.1 million, an 11% year-over-year increase, driven by growth in wholesale capacity services and commercial IoT [5][8] - Globalstar is advancing innovative platforms like the RM200 two-way module and XCOM RAN, which are expected to enhance revenue streams [6][7] Price Performance - GSAT's stock closed at $30.29, down 2.7%, and is below its 52-week high of $41.10, raising questions about the sustainability of its momentum [4] - The stock is trading at a forward 12-month price/sales ratio of 12.78X, significantly higher than the industry average of 1.37X [16] Revenue Growth - The increase in second-quarter revenues was largely attributed to a 10% rise in service revenues, with wholesale capacity services being a key contributor [5][8] - Globalstar's revenue outlook for 2025 is projected to be between $260 million and $285 million, with expected adjusted EBITDA margins around 50% [15] Strategic Developments - The company is undergoing a comprehensive infrastructure upgrade, including the addition of approximately 90 antennas across 35 ground stations in 25 countries [9] - Globalstar signed a launch services agreement with SpaceX to deploy nine new satellites, scheduled for launch in late 2025 and 2026 [11] Client Expansion - GSAT is expanding its client base, particularly in the government sector, including partnerships with U.S. federal agencies and defense markets [12] - The company has completed a proof of concept with Parsons, moving into the commercial phase of collaboration [13] Competitive Landscape - Globalstar's proprietary spectrum is highlighted as a key competitive advantage in the satellite communications space [14] - The company faces competition from EchoStar, Iridium Communications, and Gilat Satellite Networks, with EchoStar recently selling spectrum licenses for approximately $17 billion [14] Valuation and Estimates - Analysts have raised earnings estimates for GSAT significantly, reflecting confidence in the company's long-term growth potential [18] - In comparison to peers, GSAT's stock has shown a notable performance, with Iridium declining by 35.8% while GILT and SATS have seen increases of 37.3% and 357.5%, respectively [19]