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$7 trillion 'wall of cash' worry is looming for investors once Fed interest rate cuts start
CNBCยท2025-09-12 17:10

Core Insights - The Federal Reserve is preparing to cut interest rates for the first time in a year, potentially by 50 basis points, which may lead to reduced yields on cash-equivalent investments [3][4] - There is currently a record amount of cash in money market funds, approximately $7.6 trillion, which may gradually flow into riskier assets as rates decrease [5][6] - The shift in the money market landscape shows a majority of institutional and corporate cash, making it less likely for these funds to move into the stock market despite lower rates [8][10] Federal Reserve Rate Policy - The latest jobs market data indicates a need for the Fed to act sooner to prevent rising unemployment, supporting the case for a rate cut [4][5] - The pace of future rate cuts will depend on ongoing labor market and inflation data, as the Fed balances its dual mandate of full employment and price stability [5][6] Money Market Funds Dynamics - Money market fund assets have consistently grown, with declines only occurring during significant economic downturns [7][8] - The majority of money market fund assets are now held by institutional investors, which are less likely to shift to equities even with lower yields [8][10] Investor Behavior and Market Impact - A significant portion of the $7 trillion in money market funds may remain in place even if rates drop to 3%, as bank deposits offer even lower returns [9][10] - Investors with smaller balances in money market funds may find it less worthwhile to move their funds due to minimal yield differences [12] Portfolio Management Strategies - As the Fed cuts rates, investors may consider reallocating funds into treasury ETFs or bond ladders to manage duration risk while seeking yield [19][20] - Investors should assess their portfolios for potential gaps in equity exposure, particularly in small-, mid-cap, or international stocks, rather than increasing large-cap or tech holdings [21][22]