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Bond market focuses on inflation as yields overtake yesterday's highs
Youtube·2025-09-12 18:48

Group 1 - The market is reacting to a significant increase in initial jobless claims, leading to a drop in yields despite CPI being close to expectations [2][4] - There is a focus on inflation data, with two-year and ten-year yields reaching higher highs, indicating a potential stagflation scenario [2][3] - The Federal Reserve is expected to raise rates by 25 basis points instead of 50, with market participants reassessing the aggressiveness of the easing cycle if inflation remains persistent [4][5] Group 2 - The reversal in yields suggests a double bottom formation, with a rejection of the 4% yield level, which is the lowest close of the year [4][5] - High-yield junk bonds are attracting investors as rate cuts are anticipated, with high yield ETFs closing at their highest level in approximately three and a half years [5]