前8月社融存量保持高增 货币政策逆周期调节持续发力

Group 1 - The People's Bank of China reported that in the first eight months, RMB loans increased by 13.46 trillion yuan, and the social financing scale increased by 26.56 trillion yuan, indicating strong financial support for the real economy [1] - Both the social financing stock growth rate and the broad money (M2) growth rate remained high at 8.8% as of the end of August, reflecting a relatively loose financial environment [1] - The weighted average interest rate for newly issued corporate loans in August was approximately 3.1%, down about 40 basis points year-on-year, while the rate for personal housing loans was also around 3.1%, down about 25 basis points year-on-year [1] Group 2 - The analysis of financial support for the real economy should not rely solely on credit channels, as recent fluctuations in financial data are influenced by seasonal factors and hidden debt replacement [2] - The M2 growth rate remained stable, supported by accelerated fiscal spending and a decrease in fiscal deposits year-on-year [2] - The narrow money (M1) growth rate increased by 0.4 percentage points to 6%, serving as an important indicator of corporate investment willingness and consumer spending tendencies [2] Group 3 - The narrowing of the "scissors difference" between M1 and M2 in August reached its lowest level since June 2021, driven by the increase in M1 growth [3] - The liquidity absorption effect of fiscal policies weakened in August, and the pace of wealth management product expansion slowed compared to July, reducing the diversion of deposits [3] - Ongoing debt reduction policies have also contributed to the improvement of corporate funding conditions, supporting M1 growth [3]