政治暴力频发与极化加剧：柯克枪击案背后的美国困局

Core Viewpoint - The current political violence in the United States is escalating, with a significant increase in incidents targeting political figures, reflecting a deepening societal divide and a lack of consensus across the political spectrum [2][4][5]. Political Violence Trends - Political violence incidents are becoming more frequent and diverse, affecting both left and right-wing individuals, and occurring in various public and private settings [4][5]. - A study from Princeton University indicates that over 250 threats and harassment incidents against local officials were tracked in the first half of 2025, marking a 9% increase compared to the same period in 2024 [4]. - The Chicago University’s research highlights that the U.S. is experiencing a "violent populism era," with assassination attempts and violent protests reaching historical highs [5]. Societal Division and Polarization - The political landscape is characterized by extreme polarization, with both liberal and conservative factions viewing each other as existential threats, leading to a rise in violent behavior among psychologically unstable individuals [6][7]. - Polling data shows a decline in the proportion of self-identified moderates from an average of 43% in 1992 to 34% in 2024, indicating a significant shift towards extremism [7]. - A Pew Research Center poll reveals that 80% of American adults believe there is a lack of consensus on basic facts between Republican and Democratic supporters [7]. Public Sentiment on Political Violence - Despite a majority opposing political violence, a growing number of individuals are beginning to accept it as a means to achieve political goals, with 22% of Democratic respondents and 12% of Republican respondents finding the murder of a health insurance CEO "somewhat acceptable" [5]. - A Marist poll indicates that about one-fifth of Americans believe violence could be a way to "get the country back on track," with Republican respondents supporting this view at a rate more than double that of Democrats [5]. Calls for Change - Political leaders from both parties have condemned the recent violence, yet responses often reflect partisan divides, complicating efforts to address the underlying issues [9][10]. - Experts suggest that political leaders must take immediate steps to de-escalate tensions, including bipartisan condemnation of violence and accountability for inflammatory rhetoric [11].