Commercial Real Estate Market Shows Signs Of Recovery As Bid Intensity Increases

Core Insights - Economic uncertainty has led to a slowdown in the commercial real estate market earlier this year, but recent indicators suggest that capital is returning, which may be a positive sign for investors [1] - The Bid Intensity Index from JLL has ticked up for the first time this year, indicating a resurgence in competitiveness in the direct investment market [2][3] Bid Intensity Index - The Bid Intensity Index combines three sub-indices: bid-ask spread, bids per deal, and bid variability, providing insights into market competitiveness [2] - The index saw its first improvement since December, suggesting that investment sales bidding activity is becoming competitive again after a period of uncertainty [3] - The index had previously eased due to volatile bond markets and trade policy uncertainty, but it is now stabilizing, indicating increased market competitiveness [4] Sector Breakdown - Living/multi-housing sector leads in bidding competitiveness due to high liquidity and housing shortages [6] - Industrial & logistics sector is lagging behind the living/multi-housing sector due to a slowdown in leasing activity in the U.S. and other markets [6] - Retail sector has seen improved bid intensity since 2024, driven by strong competitiveness and balanced supply and demand, alongside robust consumer spending [6]