Group 1 - The core sentiment in the market is optimistic, driven by Oracle's strong performance and the potential for a new round of AI development, leading tech stocks to push the S&P and Nasdaq towards historical highs [2] - Investors are closely monitoring the upcoming Federal Reserve monetary policy meeting, with expectations of interest rate cuts due to a slowing job market [2][3] - Recent data indicates inflationary pressures, with the overall CPI rising 0.4% month-on-month in August, the largest single-month increase since January [3][4] Group 2 - The job market shows signs of weakness, with a downward adjustment of 911,000 jobs in non-farm employment data, and initial jobless claims rising to 263,000, exceeding expectations [3][4] - Market expectations for the Federal Reserve to restart rate cuts are increasing, with a 74% probability of a cumulative 75 basis points cut by December [4][5] - The stock market experienced significant inflows, with over $10.4 billion exiting U.S. equity funds last week, indicating a trend of investors locking in profits [6][7] Group 3 - Oracle's strong earnings outlook, with a 359% year-on-year increase in remaining performance obligations (RPO) to $455 billion, signals robust demand in the AI sector [7] - The upcoming "Triple Witching Day" may lead to increased volatility in the market due to the expiration of stock index futures and options [6][8] - Overall market sentiment remains cautiously bullish, with potential support for interest rate-sensitive sectors if the Federal Reserve adopts a dovish stance [8]
美联储重启降息在即,美股能否延续强势上攻