RH Stock Slides After Mixed Earnings and Tariff Concerns

Core Viewpoint - RH's second-quarter earnings report revealed mixed results, with a revenue of $899.20 million, which was up 10% from the first quarter and 8.4% year-over-year, but fell short of expectations of $905.36 million [4][5]. Financial Performance - The company reported an adjusted operating margin of 18.3%, down from 19.6% in the same quarter a year ago, primarily due to higher freight costs and expenses related to new business initiatives [6]. - Gross margin was 49.2%, compared to 49.7% last year, reflecting increased promotional activity and early effects of tariffs [6]. - Adjusted net income was $147 million, or $7.78 per share, down from $153 million, or $8.48 per share, in the prior-year period, indicating pressure from softer-than-expected revenue and expenses [7]. Revenue Growth Outlook - RH anticipates revenue growth of 8% to 10% for the current quarter and 9% to 11% for the full year, a decrease from the previous estimate of 10% to 13% [5]. Tariff Impact - The company expects to incur an additional $30 million in tariff costs in the second half of the year, with uncertainty surrounding new tariffs proposed by the Trump administration [8]. - A $40 million revenue shift is anticipated from Q3 2025 to Q4 or into the first quarter of 2026 [8]. Long-term Strategy - Despite near-term challenges, RH emphasizes its long-term growth strategy, including the rollout of RH England and upcoming openings in Paris, Milan, and Madrid, which are expected to enhance brand awareness [9][10]. - The company is also expanding in North America with new design galleries in Miami, Palo Alto, and Montecito [10]. Balance Sheet Strength - RH ended the quarter with $2.48 billion in total debt and $1.26 billion in cash, providing flexibility to manage tariff-related uncertainties and execute gallery expansions [11]. Market Sentiment - RH stock is currently down more than 4%, but there is a belief among investors that the post-report sell-off was overdone, as the stock was down 13% immediately after the report [1][4]. - Analysts have a 12-month price target of $259.29 for RH stock, indicating an 18.60% upside potential [13].