市场向好叠加主动市值管理 券商板块估值修复机遇获看好

Core Viewpoint - The brokerage sector is experiencing a valuation recovery phase, supported by strong performance and favorable market conditions, leading to optimistic expectations for continued growth in the sector [1][2][3]. Industry Performance - The A-share market has shown a positive trend this year, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 15.48%, the Shenzhen Component Index up 24.1%, and the ChiNext Index up 41.04% as of September 14 [2]. - The average daily trading volume in the A-share market reached 1.6 trillion yuan, more than doubling year-on-year [2]. - In the first half of the year, 42 listed brokerages achieved a total operating income of 251.87 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.37%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 104.02 billion yuan, up 65.08% year-on-year [2]. Stock Performance - The brokerage sector (Shenwan Secondary) has risen 11.58% year-to-date, with 43 out of 50 stocks in the sector showing gains, and 17 stocks increasing by over 10% [3]. - Notable performers include Xiangcai Securities with a 58.89% increase, Guosheng Financial Holdings at 47.98%, and others like Changcheng Securities and Bank of China Securities with increases of 42.53% and 39.41%, respectively [3]. Valuation Recovery Opportunities - Brokerages are actively engaging in share buybacks and dividend distributions, signaling positive market sentiment and enhancing investment value [3][4]. - As of September 14, 10 brokerage firms have repurchased a total of 221 million shares for 2.34 billion yuan, a 158.34% increase from the previous year [4]. - A total of 28 listed brokerages have announced semi-annual dividend plans amounting to 18.80 billion yuan, significantly exceeding last year's total of 13.84 billion yuan [4]. Future Outlook - Analysts expect the brokerage sector to continue its upward trajectory, with improved operating environments and sustainable performance enhancing growth prospects [4]. - The sentiment in the brokerage sector is seen as a reflection of capital inflow, with expectations for continued market activity and performance improvements in brokerage services [4].