从“吞金巨兽”到“现金奶牛”中国创新药内需旺盛

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese innovative pharmaceutical sector has shown remarkable performance in the capital market this year, driven by record-high business development (BD) amounts for overseas expansion and a rapid growth in domestic revenue, indicating a shift from a "cash-burning" model to a "cash cow" model for innovative drugs [1] Domestic Demand - The demand for high-quality innovative drugs in China is significantly increasing, with A-share innovative drug companies reporting a revenue of 28.69 billion yuan in the first half of the year, a year-on-year growth of approximately 42%, while H-share companies reported 42.13 billion yuan, a growth of about 10% [2] - Leading companies like Heng Rui Medicine reported a 14.5% increase in innovative drug sales revenue to 7.57 billion yuan, primarily from the domestic market, with several drugs contributing to this growth due to expanded indications [2][3] - Other companies such as BeiGene and Yifan Pharmaceutical also reported substantial revenue growth from their innovative products, indicating a robust domestic market for innovative drugs [3] Policy Support - The Chinese government has been actively supporting the development of innovative drugs through policy reforms, with 149 innovative drugs included in the national medical insurance directory since 2018, significantly improving the accessibility of new drugs [4] - The introduction of commercial health insurance for innovative drugs is expected to alleviate the financial burden on patients and enhance the market for innovative drugs [5][6] Research and Development Investment - Despite the growth in revenue, many innovative drug companies are increasing their R&D investments, creating a positive cycle of revenue growth leading to increased R&D and a rich pipeline of future products [7] - Companies like Heng Rui Medicine and BeiGene are significantly investing in R&D, with substantial portions of their revenue allocated to developing new drugs [7][8] Global Positioning - China is becoming a significant player in global drug development, holding nearly 30% of the global market share, with a notable increase in first-in-class drug pipelines and technology licensing [8] - The past years of investment during the "innovation drug bubble" period are expected to yield significant results in the coming years, particularly around 2025 [8]