【环时深度】卡塔尔遭袭暴露中东调停国的无奈

Core Viewpoint - The recent Israeli airstrike on Qatar has raised concerns among Gulf nations regarding their diplomatic roles and security, highlighting the potential costs of international mediation in conflict resolution [1][2][3]. Group 1: Impact on Qatar's Mediation Role - The airstrike on Doha has undermined Qatar's image as a stable diplomatic center, raising questions about the price of its mediation efforts in international conflicts [2][5]. - Qatar's past role in mediating conflicts, including hosting the Taliban and Hamas, is now perceived as a liability, making it vulnerable to becoming a battleground in proxy wars [2][5]. Group 2: Concerns Among Gulf Nations - Other Gulf countries are increasingly worried about being drawn into conflicts due to their mediation efforts, particularly in light of recent tensions between Israel and Iran [3][4]. - The fear of becoming targets in a potential Israel-Iran war has heightened the anxiety among Gulf states, as they recognize their security is heavily reliant on U.S. defense partnerships [3][4]. Group 3: Limited Response Options - Gulf nations have found themselves with few viable military options to respond to Israel's actions, as their security frameworks are closely tied to U.S. support [6][8]. - Qatar has vowed to pursue a "regional collective response" but faces challenges in implementing effective countermeasures against Israel [7][8]. Group 4: U.S. Role and Implications - The U.S. has been criticized for its perceived complicity in the Israeli airstrike, raising doubts about its reliability as a security guarantor for Gulf nations [10][11][12]. - The incident has prompted Gulf states to reconsider their dependence on U.S. security assurances, potentially leading to a diversification of their security strategies [12][13].