快递提价弹性有望验证，油运运价持续上涨

Group 1: Express Delivery Industry - The Anhui Provincial Express Association has launched an initiative to resist "involution" competition, aiming to promote high-quality development in the industry and maintain market order [1][7] - Starting from September 15, 2025, express delivery prices in Anhui Province will increase by no less than 0.2 yuan per ticket, which is expected to help close the price gap in central and eastern regions of China [1][7] - The express delivery business volume in Anhui Province accounted for 3.6% of the national total from 2024 to July 2025, indicating significant regional influence [1] Group 2: Shipping and Maritime Industry - The VLCCTD3cTCE rate surged to $82,674 per day, a 34.13% increase from the previous week, indicating a strong demand in the shipping market as the peak season approaches [2] - The attack on Russia's largest oil loading port in the Baltic Sea could lead to a 24% reduction in Russian oil exports, which may further boost VLCC short-term demand and pricing [3] - The outlook for VLCC rates is optimistic, with potential to reach $200,000 per day during the peak season, driven by OPEC+ production increases and tightening supply [2][3] Group 3: Aviation Industry - Airline ticket prices have shown a positive trend since August 13, with significant year-on-year growth observed in early September, driven by increased passenger volume and business travel recovery [4][7] - The aviation sector is expected to benefit from macroeconomic recovery, with a long-term supply-demand imbalance likely to enhance the sector's performance [8] Group 4: Logistics and Infrastructure - National logistics operations have been running smoothly, with rail freight volumes reported at 79.04 million tons from September 1 to September 7, despite a slight decrease [5][6] - The National Development and Reform Commission is encouraging the submission of REITs projects in mature asset types, including toll roads and clean energy, to enhance infrastructure investment [6] Group 5: Investment Opportunities - In the express delivery sector, companies like YTO Express, Shentong Express, and ZTO Express are expected to benefit from improved market conditions and operational efficiencies [7][8] - In the shipping industry, companies such as China Merchants Energy and COSCO Shipping are recommended due to favorable market conditions and potential demand growth [8] - The aviation sector presents investment opportunities in companies like China Southern Airlines and HNA Group, which are positioned to benefit from the recovery in air travel demand [8]