预计8月快递业务量同比+12%，油运景气稳健向上

Market Overview - The transportation index increased by 1.5% during the week of September 6-12, outperforming the CSI 300 index which rose by 1.4%, resulting in a 0.2% lead over the broader market, ranking 16th out of 29 sectors [1][2] - Among the sub-sectors, the shipping sector saw the highest increase of 3.7%, while the road transport sector experienced the largest decline of 0.8% [1][2] Industry Insights Express Delivery - It is anticipated that the express delivery volume in August will grow by approximately 12% year-on-year, with revenue expected to increase by about 6% [3] - During the week of September 1-7, the total collection volume for postal express reached approximately 3.856 billion pieces, a 0.03% increase week-on-week and a 9.2% increase year-on-year [3] - The average daily business volume is expected to exceed 500 million pieces, driven by the harvest season of specialty agricultural products [3] Logistics - The China Chemical Product Price Index (CCPI) stood at 3973 points, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 9.3% and a month-on-month decrease of 0.20% [4] - The domestic sea freight price for liquid chemicals was 159 RMB/ton, showing a year-on-year decline of 6.31% but remaining stable month-on-month [4] - The operating rates for paraxylene (PX), methanol, and ethylene glycol were reported at 85.9%, 83.7%, and 71.3% respectively, with year-on-year increases of 2.3%, 2.7%, and 17.3% [4] Aviation and Airports - The average daily flight volume across the country reached 15,059 flights, a year-on-year increase of 4.72% [5] - Eastern Airlines launched a new long-haul route from Shanghai to Auckland to Buenos Aires, which reduces travel time by 4-5 hours [5] - Brent crude oil futures settled at $66.99 per barrel, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 2.27% [5] Shipping - The China Export Container Freight Index (CCFI) was reported at 1125.3 points, a month-on-month decrease of 2.1% and a year-on-year decrease of 35.4% [6] - The oil transportation index (BDTI) increased by 3.3% week-on-week, reaching 1084.2 points, with a year-on-year increase of 22.8% [6] - The dry bulk freight index (BDI) rose by 5.6% week-on-week, indicating a year-on-year increase of 7.9% [6] Road and Rail Ports - The total cargo throughput at ports decreased by 5.4% week-on-week, totaling 259.535 million tons, with a year-on-year decline of 1.4% [7] - The total number of trucks passing through highways was 54.36 million, reflecting a week-on-week decrease of 1.03% and a year-on-year decrease of 0.61% [7] - The dividend yield of major road operators exceeded the yield of China's ten-year government bonds, indicating a favorable investment opportunity [7]