板块估值持续修复，水务运营稳健，垃圾焚烧分红提升

Core Viewpoint - The environmental sector is experiencing a mixed performance in the first half of 2025, with revenue and net profit showing varying trends across different sub-sectors, influenced by policy changes and market dynamics [1][2][4]. Summary by Category Overall Sector Performance - The environmental sector, comprising 146 listed companies, achieved a total revenue of 1,870.37 billion yuan in H1 2025, a slight increase of 0.2% year-on-year, while net profit decreased by 6.0% to 169.53 billion yuan, primarily due to significant profit declines in specific companies [2]. Water Sector - The water sector, with 16 listed companies, reported revenues of 343.53 billion yuan, down 0.9% year-on-year, but net profit increased by 4.6% to 54.2 billion yuan. Recent policy changes are expected to catalyze market reforms, potentially benefiting efficient water companies [3]. Solid Waste Sector - The solid waste sector, consisting of 38 listed companies, generated revenues of 865.33 billion yuan, reflecting a 3.4% year-on-year increase, while net profit decreased by 3.4% to 84.7 billion yuan. Enhanced dividends from waste incineration and international expansion are anticipated to reshape valuations [3]. Environmental Monitoring/Testing Sector - The environmental monitoring/testing sector, with 9 listed companies, achieved revenues of 43.08 billion yuan, down 4.4% year-on-year, and net profit fell by 41% to 1.62 billion yuan. New carbon market policies are expected to expand industry participation and drive demand in the carbon monitoring sector [3]. Environmental Equipment Sector - The environmental equipment sector, comprising 26 listed companies, reported revenues of 300.04 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.69% year-on-year, and net profit fell by 15% to 19.17 billion yuan. The government’s focus on energy-saving equipment upgrades is expected to boost demand in this area [4][5]. Investment Recommendations - The report highlights three main investment themes: 1. Water and waste incineration operations, which are expected to benefit from market reforms and stable cash flows, with recommended companies including Xingrong Environment and Hancheng Environment [5]. 2. Environmental equipment, driven by ongoing industrial energy-saving initiatives and data center cooling needs, with suggested companies like Zhongtai Co. and Ice Wheel Environment [5]. 3. Circular economy, with significant growth potential, particularly in resource recycling, with recommended companies such as Yingke Recycling and Gao Neng Environment [5].