三季度经济发展趋势如何 国家统计局最新研判
Di Yi Cai Jing·2025-09-15 04:38

Economic Overview - In August, China's economy showed short-term fluctuations but demonstrated strong resilience and vitality despite a complex external environment and weak domestic demand [1] - The National Bureau of Statistics reported that the industrial added value above designated size grew by 5.2% year-on-year in August, a slight decrease of 0.5 percentage points from July [1] - Retail sales of consumer goods increased by 3.4% year-on-year in August, down 0.3 percentage points from July [1] - From January to August, fixed asset investment grew by 0.5% year-on-year, slowing down by 1.1 percentage points compared to the first seven months of the year [1] Industrial Development - The high-end development of industries is progressing positively, with technological and industrial innovations continuously merging [3] - From January to August, the added value of high-tech manufacturing industries increased by 9.5%, with integrated circuit manufacturing and aerospace equipment manufacturing growing by 22.3% and 14.6%, respectively [3] - The production of industrial robots and civilian drones surged by 29.9% and 53.7%, respectively, indicating steady progress in intelligent and green transformation [3] Consumer Market - The scale of commodity consumption continues to expand, with market sales steadily recovering due to various measures aimed at boosting consumption [5] - From January to August, retail sales of consumer goods increased by 4.6%, while service retail sales grew by 5.1% [6] - The implementation of policies such as trade-in programs has stimulated consumer demand, leading to significant growth in related product sales [6] Investment Trends - Fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) reached 326.111 billion yuan from January to August, with a year-on-year growth of 0.5% [9] - Manufacturing investment grew by 5.1% year-on-year, although this represents a decline of 1.1 percentage points compared to the previous seven months [10] - Infrastructure investment (excluding power, heat, gas, and water production and supply) increased by 2.0% year-on-year, but the growth rate slowed by 1.2 percentage points compared to the first seven months [10] Future Outlook - Despite external challenges, China's economy is expected to maintain a stable and progressive development trend, supported by macroeconomic policies and the construction of a unified national market [11] - The potential for high-quality development remains strong, with new growth drivers emerging and market vitality increasing [11]