国家统计局：三季度我国经济有望保持稳中有进发展态势

Core Viewpoint - China's economy is expected to maintain a steady and progressive development trend in the third quarter, supported by a series of macro policies and strong growth in industrial and service sectors [1][2]. Economic Performance - In July and August, the industrial output for large-scale enterprises grew by 5.7% and 5.2% year-on-year, respectively, maintaining a growth rate above 5% [1]. - The service sector production index increased by 5.8% and 5.6% in July and August, outpacing industrial growth [1]. - Retail sales of consumer goods rose by 3.7% and 3.4% year-on-year in July and August, while service retail sales grew by 5.1% from January to August, continuing to outpace goods retail [1]. - Exports of goods increased by 8.0% and 4.8% in July and August, indicating continued expansion [1]. Employment and Prices - The urban survey unemployment rate remained stable, with the rate for the 30-59 age group holding steady at 3.9% in July and August [1]. - Core CPI rose by 0.8% and 0.9% year-on-year in July and August, marking four consecutive months of increasing growth [2]. Development Dynamics - The added value of high-tech manufacturing industries grew by 9.3% in both July and August, significantly outpacing overall industrial growth [2]. - Production of industrial robots and new energy vehicles continued to see double-digit growth [2]. - Digital and green transformations are deepening, with sustained growth in digital product manufacturing and online retail of physical goods [2]. Trade and Policy - High-level openness and trade diversification are progressing, with rapid growth in imports and exports to countries involved in the Belt and Road Initiative [2]. - Recent efforts by relevant departments to promote industry self-discipline and capacity governance are showing gradual effects, with reduced year-on-year price declines in coal, steel, new energy vehicles, and photovoltaics in August [2].