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研报掘金丨招商证券:中国国航盈利能力逐步回升,维持“增持”评级
Ge Long Hui A P P·2025-09-15 09:31

Core Viewpoint - China National Airlines significantly reduced its net loss in the first half of the year, achieving profitability in Q2 2025, with a net profit of 240 million yuan compared to a net loss of 1.11 billion yuan in the same period last year [1] Financial Performance - In the first half of the year, the company reported a net loss attributable to shareholders of 1.81 billion yuan, a year-on-year reduction in loss of 980 million yuan [1] - Q2 2025 saw a net profit of 240 million yuan, marking a turnaround from a net loss of 1.11 billion yuan in the same quarter of the previous year [1] Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from the recovery of international flights, declining oil prices, industry supply-demand rebalancing, and improvements in operational efficiency, leading to stabilized revenue levels and gradual recovery in profitability [1] - However, short-term challenges include weak demand for business travel and pressure on peak season ticket prices, prompting a downward revision of the company's net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to 1.53 billion, 3.47 billion, and 3.89 billion yuan respectively [1] Strategic Positioning - The company has a strong strategic position with its hub at Beijing Capital Airport, covering economically developed and densely populated regions of China, which is expected to continue benefiting from business travel and the recovery of international long-haul routes [1] - The company maintains a "buy" rating, reflecting confidence in its long-term advantages and market positioning [1]