Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs has raised the net profit forecasts for China Merchants Port (00144) and COSCO Shipping Ports (01199) for 2025 to 2027 by 2% to 6% [1] Group 1: Company Analysis - COSCO Shipping Ports is favored due to strong performance at its European terminals and improved performance at Qianhai Port, with a projected dividend yield of 5% in 2025 and a target price increase from HKD 5.3 to HKD 6, rated as "Buy" [1] - China Merchants Port's target price has been raised from HKD 13.1 to HKD 14.2, rated as "Neutral" [1] Group 2: Industry Outlook - Despite the backdrop of increased U.S. tariffs and trade uncertainties, the container throughput at mainland ports grew by 7% year-on-year in the first half of the year [1] - Future growth projections indicate year-on-year increases of 4.6%, 2.7%, and 2.5% for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, suggesting a slowdown to 2% growth in the second half of 2025 [1] - China Merchants Port anticipates a 2% price increase in contract negotiations for 2026, while other operators expect no further price hikes beyond inflation adjustments [1] - Both China Merchants Port and COSCO Shipping Ports are optimistic about contract price growth for overseas terminals due to faster throughput growth and rising costs [1]
高盛:料内地集装箱吞吐量全年升4.6% 升招商局港口(00144)及中远海运港口(01199)目标价