Executives Remain Skittish About Buying Their Own Shares

Insider Buying Trends - Insider buying has been below normal in 13 of the past 15 months, with August showing only 26% of purchases compared to sales [3] - Historically, the highest ratio of buys to sells was 2.01 in October 2008 during the Great Recession, indicating that insider buying can signal future recovery [4] Eastman Chemical - Eastman Chemical Co. (EMN) executives, including CEO Mark Costa and CFO McLain William Thomas Jr., made significant purchases of shares on August 27, totaling approximately $502,000 and $252,000 respectively [5] - The stock has fallen 24% this year, impacted by high tariffs on imported materials, yet it has shown profitability for over 30 years [6] - Current valuation is attractive, trading at about nine times earnings and less than one times revenue, suggesting potential for recovery [6] Eli Lilly - Eight executives at Eli Lilly (LLY) bought shares in August, including CEO David Ricks and CFO Lucas Montarce, who spent over $1 million and nearly $495,000 respectively [7] - The stock price has decreased from a high of $942 to around $755, but it trades at a high valuation of 49 times recent earnings and over 12 times revenue, indicating it may be overvalued [8] United Parcel Service - United Parcel Service Inc. (UPS) shares have dropped more than 31% this year, with CEO Carol Tome purchasing over $1 million in August [9] - Despite competitive pressures, UPS maintains a strong return on equity of over 34% and trades for less than 13 times earnings, suggesting potential for future gains [10] First Citizens BancShares - At First Citizens BancShares Inc. (FCNCA), CEO Frank Holding Jr. invested over $1 million in August, alongside four other insiders [11] - The bank has shown improving profits and has consistently achieved a return on assets of 1.0% or better, with the stock trading at a reasonable valuation of 12 times recent earnings [12] Performance of Insider Buying Stocks - Stocks recommended based on insider buying have returned an average of 8.9% over 12 months, underperforming the S&P 500 Total Return Index by 1.8 percentage points [13] - Stocks to avoid despite insider buying have lagged the index by 24 percentage points, while those with ambiguous comments on insider buying have outperformed the index by 14.2 percentage points [14]