从订单减少到化肥涨价，从成本提升到供应链扰乱，美国农民处于“贸易与财政悬崖”

Group 1 - The core issue facing American farmers is the increasing pressure from U.S. government tariff policies, leading to reduced orders, rising fertilizer prices, and disrupted supply chains [1][2] - The number of small business bankruptcies among American farmers has reached a five-year high, with 259 bankruptcy applications expected from April 2024 to March 2025, nearly doubling compared to the previous year [1] - Farmers are experiencing low market demand despite favorable weather and crop yields, with concerns about the impact of U.S.-China trade tensions on soybean orders [1] Group 2 - The closure of the U.S. International Development Agency has directly impacted domestic sales, as it was a major buyer of U.S. crops, spending approximately $2.1 billion annually on food aid [2] - Agricultural production costs are sharply rising, particularly due to trade disputes affecting fertilizer prices, with farmers reporting losses of $100 to $200 per acre [2] - Uncertainty surrounding tariffs has created anxiety among farmers, with many expressing conditional support for current government policies, needing to see results within 18 months [2]