Workflow
国泰海通:商业航天顶层设计持续强化 看好产业低成本/高可靠/规模化发展
智通财经网·2025-09-15 23:16

Core Viewpoint - The commercial aerospace industry is becoming a key area of global technological competition, with increasing scarcity of low-orbit satellite frequency resources and intensified global competition [1][5]. Policy and Market Dynamics - Continuous strengthening of top-level design in commercial aerospace, with policies driving innovation potential; commercial aerospace was highlighted as a key development industry in the 2023 Central Economic Work Conference, and it was included in the government work report for 2024 [2]. - The China Securities Regulatory Commission included commercial aerospace in the fifth set of listing standards for the Sci-Tech Innovation Board in June 2025, and the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology issued satellite mobile communication business licenses to China Unicom, further opening application scenarios [2]. Industry Chain Development - The commercial aerospace industry chain is rapidly improving, driven by both supply and demand; China has a complete industry chain from satellite manufacturing to rocket launching and terminal operations [3]. - The global commercial aerospace market has reached $480 billion, with significant market shares in positioning navigation, ground stations, satellite TV, and satellite communications; China's investment in commercial aerospace is expected to account for 24% of global investment in 2024 [3]. Demand and Technological Advancements - The demand for satellite constellation networking is surging, with multiple constellations accelerating large-scale networking, presenting new opportunities for industry development; China Star Network launched its 10th group of satellite internet satellites [4]. - The "Long March" series rockets are the main force, with private companies like Zhongke Aerospace and Blue Arrow Aerospace expected to become significant contributors to launch capacity [4]. - New technologies such as reusable rockets and large liquid rockets are enhancing launch frequency and capacity, with several private companies entering the first flight stage for reusable rockets [4]. Investment Opportunities - The commercial aerospace sector is viewed as a global competitive high ground, with a focus on low-cost, high-reliability, and large-scale development; investment opportunities are seen in rocket manufacturing, satellite payloads, and new infrastructure [5]. - Sectors benefiting from the scaling of applications include satellite communications, navigation, remote sensing, and space tourism, while new technologies like reusable rockets and liquid rockets are expected to drive down overall costs [5].