Stock market looks 'pretty darn good,' Reagan economist argues

Economic Overview - The current economic situation is perceived to be worse than many realize, with significant payroll losses and stagnant private payroll growth [14][15] - The inflation rate is above the Federal Reserve's target, with a three-month change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) at 3.5%, and goods inflation at 3.0% [5][6] Tariffs and Inflation - Tariffs are believed to have contributed to inflation, with costs being passed on to consumers, although there are arguments that tax cuts and deregulation have also played a role in lowering costs [7][8] - The debate exists on whether the inflation caused by tariffs is a one-time issue or a more persistent problem [6][10] Income Distribution - Under Biden's presidency, the middle class saw no gains when adjusted for inflation, while the poor became poorer, contrasting with the economic growth experienced during Trump's first term [17][18] - The discussion highlights a philosophical difference in economic policies, with a focus on the impact of income redistribution efforts [18] Employment and Immigration - A significant drop in immigration numbers is noted, which could affect employment figures, with estimates suggesting a reduction from millions to potentially negative numbers [19][20] - The importance of analyzing both current and past inflation numbers is emphasized, as they can influence perceptions of economic health [21] Stock Market Sentiment - The stock market is viewed as a more reliable indicator of economic health than inflation numbers, with current market performance being described as positive [22]