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兴证国际:首予国泰海通(0261)“增持”评级 收费类业务市场地位进一步提升
智通财经网·2025-09-16 02:57

Core Viewpoint - The report from Xingsheng International indicates that 2025 will be a consolidation year for Guotai Junan (02611), requiring time to adjust to the friction from mergers and acquisitions, with expectations of enhanced comprehensive strength and realization of scale effects as client assets and net asset size increase [1] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Guotai Junan reported operating revenue and net profit attributable to shareholders of 238.72 billion and 157.37 billion yuan, representing year-on-year increases of 77.7% and 213.7% respectively, with a non-recurring net profit of 72.79 billion yuan, up 59.8% year-on-year [1] - The company achieved a weighted average ROE of 6.25%, an increase of 3.14 percentage points year-on-year [1] - In Q2 2025, operating revenue and net profit attributable to shareholders were 120.99 billion and 34.95 billion yuan, with quarter-on-quarter changes of +2.8% and -71.4% respectively [1] Revenue Growth - The company’s revenue from fee-based and capital-based businesses for the first half of 2025 was 100.40 billion and 126.23 billion yuan, showing year-on-year growth of 57.4% and 99.3%, respectively, driven primarily by the acquisition of Haitong Securities [1][2] - The brokerage, investment banking, and asset management net revenues were 57.33 billion, 13.92 billion, and 25.78 billion yuan, with year-on-year increases of 86.3%, 19.4%, and 34.2% respectively [2] Market Position and Expansion - The brokerage business saw a significant increase in client scale, with the number of domestic fund accounts rising by 4.2% to 38.45 million, and the market share of stock-based transactions reaching 8.31% [2] - The investment banking sector benefited from strong partnerships, with equity underwriting volume increasing by 1315.8% to 1,253.16 billion yuan and bond underwriting volume at 5,828.66 billion yuan, capturing an 11.09% market share, ranking second in the industry [2] Asset and Liability Management - Interest income and investment income for capital-based businesses were 31.87 billion and 94.36 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth of 205.4% and 78.4% [2] - As of mid-2025, the company’s financial assets increased by 54.3% to 8,029.08 billion yuan, with balanced growth across various financial assets and significant expansion in cross-border business transactions [2]