Workflow
广发证券:整机、齿轮箱筑底企稳 风电行业景气度延续
智通财经网·2025-09-16 03:24

Core Viewpoint - The wind power industry chain is showing significant results in reversing internal competition, with profits in the complete machine and cable segments expected to continue rising by the first half of 2025, leading to a doubling of net profits for leading companies [1][2] Performance Growth - The majority of profits in the wind power industry chain are concentrated in the complete machine and cable segments, with leading companies demonstrating excess profits. According to Tonghuashun data, the net profit attributable to the parent company in the complete machine segment for 2023, 2024, and the first half of 2025 accounts for 17.44%, 22.04%, and 23.57% of the total industry chain profits, respectively. The cable segment accounts for 26.22%, 27.43%, and 26.22% during the same periods [1][2] Profitability Space - The reversal of internal competition in the wind power industry chain is beginning to show results, with overall ROE remaining stable. As capacity continues to clear, leading companies in certain segments are seeing their gross margins stabilize and recover in the first half of 2025 [2] Financial Framework - The wind turbine and gearbox segments are believed to have reached the bottom of the industry cycle and are expected to be the first to see a profit turning point. The analysis utilizes a comprehensive financial framework, including profit and loss statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess the industry's cyclical position. Key financial indicators include net asset return rate, quick ratio, and fixed asset turnover rate, which suggest that the wind turbine and gearbox segments are likely to experience a profit turning point [3] Investment Recommendations - Companies to focus on in the wind turbine and gearbox segments include Goldwind Technology, Mingyang Smart Energy, SANY Heavy Energy, and others. In the casting and forging segments, companies like Jinlei Co., Sun Moon Shares, and others are recommended due to their low capital expenditure characteristics. For the tower and foundation segments, companies such as Daikin Heavy Industry and others are suggested. In the cable segment, companies like Orient Cable and others are recommended [4]