Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-09-16 06:17Core Viewpoint - The smart vehicle ETF, TaiKang (159720), is experiencing a significant upward trend driven by policy, technology, and global market conditions, indicating a shift from "electrification" to "intelligentization" in the automotive sector [1][5]. Short-term Driving Logic - Policy expectations have been fulfilled with clear guidelines on L3 access trials and energy storage targets, reducing market uncertainty and enhancing sector valuations [2]. - Accelerated technological iterations, such as breakthroughs in solid-state batteries and AI models for vehicles, validate industry growth potential and open long-term opportunities [3]. - Global benchmarks, including Tesla's Robotaxi progress and large orders from Hesai, confirm the commercial viability of smart vehicles and strengthen the global supply chain position [4]. Medium to Long-term Trends - The competitive focus is shifting from battery range to intelligent driving experiences, with software-defined vehicles becoming a core barrier to entry [5]. - The deepening of domestic substitution in critical areas like semiconductors and lidar, along with accelerated overseas expansion (e.g., localized production in Europe), is building global competitiveness [5]. Profit Model Reconstruction - Automotive companies are transitioning from "hardware sales" to "software services" (e.g., subscription-based intelligent driving), with future gross margins expected to continue rising [6]. Related Products - The smart vehicle ETF, TaiKang (159720), employs a full replication investment strategy closely tracking the CSI Smart Electric Vehicle Index, achieving a recent scale of 59.69 million yuan, a six-month high [1][7]. - The ETF's top ten holdings include leading companies in electric and smart vehicle sectors, with a combined weight of 55.33%, indicating strong alignment with the electrification and intelligentization trends [7][8]. - The ETF is positioned to benefit from the positive cycle of "technological breakthroughs - commercial implementation - scale expansion," particularly as Robotaxi operations grow and intelligent driving hardware costs decrease [7][8]. - The CSI Smart Electric Vehicle Index reflects the overall performance of listed companies in the smart electric vehicle industry, with key players like CATL and BYD establishing competitive advantages in battery technology and smart cockpit areas [9].