Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-09-16 06:40Core Viewpoint - The rare metals sector is experiencing a mixed performance, with recent regulatory changes and supply-demand dynamics influencing market trends [1][4][5]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of September 16, 2025, the China Securities Rare Metals Theme Index has decreased by 2.23%, with leading stocks such as Guangsheng Nonferrous Metals and Northern Rare Earths showing declines [1]. - The Rare Metals ETF (562800) has seen a 13.27% increase over the past month, indicating a strong recovery trend [1]. - The Rare Metals ETF has achieved a record high in scale, reaching 2.735 billion yuan, and a record high in shares at 3.558 billion, leading among comparable funds [4]. Group 2: Trading Activity - The Rare Metals ETF recorded an intraday turnover of 8.19%, with a transaction volume of 218 million yuan [4]. - Over the past week, the ETF has maintained an average daily transaction volume of 230 million yuan, ranking first among comparable funds [4]. - The ETF has seen a net inflow of 231 million yuan recently, with three out of the last five trading days showing positive net inflows totaling 304 million yuan [4]. Group 3: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The supply side remains tight, with upstream raw ore separation enterprises maintaining stable operations, although some face reduced operating rates due to raw material supply constraints [5]. - Demand from downstream magnetic material companies remains strong, with major manufacturers maintaining high operating rates and sufficient order reserves [5]. - Recent data indicates a 3.4% month-on-month decrease in China's rare earth exports in August, while export value increased by 51%, reflecting a "volume decrease, price increase" trend [4]. Group 4: Key Stocks - The top ten weighted stocks in the rare metals index account for 57.58% of the total index, with Northern Rare Earths and Luoyang Molybdenum being the most significant contributors [5]. - Notable declines in stock prices include Northern Rare Earths down by 3.98% and Guangsheng Nonferrous Metals down by 1.66% [7].