智通财经网·2025-09-16 08:22Core Viewpoint - The Chinese air conditioning market remains attractive due to high market consolidation, strong profitability of leaders, and balanced supply-demand dynamics [1] Industry Summary - The competition among Xiaomi Group-W (01810) and industry leaders is linked to the overall efficiency of the industry value chain, from supply chain and manufacturing to distribution networks [1] - Increased competition is expected to enhance industry efficiency and potentially reduce profit pools [1] Company Summary - Goldman Sachs maintains a "Buy" rating for Midea Group (00300), Haier Smart Home (06690), Hisense Home Appliances (00921), and Xiaomi, while downgrading Gree Electric Appliances (000651.SZ) from "Buy" to "Neutral" due to weakened demand and intensified competition affecting growth prospects [1] - Midea is anticipated to be the most resilient manufacturer, leveraging its global production advantages and continuous improvement in distribution efficiency to potentially increase market share [1] - Gree's profitability is expected to be most impacted among peers, given its reliance on the Chinese market [1] - Xiaomi is projected to become a leading player in second-tier cities, with a mid-term market share expected to rise to approximately 10%, benefiting from its distribution network, product ecosystem, and improved production capabilities [1] - Further market share growth will depend on strategies related to mid-to-high-end products and offline channels [1]