Should You Forget BigBear.ai and Buy 3 Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stocks Right Now?

Core Insights - Palantir Technologies has emerged as a significant player in the stock market, particularly after launching its Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP) in 2023, leading to substantial stock performance [1][2] - BigBear.ai is being compared to Palantir as a potential investment opportunity in the AI space, but it faces challenges in scaling its business and revenue [4][6] Company Performance - Palantir's stock surged 340% in 2024, making it the best-performing stock in the S&P 500, with a 118% gain in 2025 so far [2] - An investment of $1,000 in Palantir three years ago would now be worth $21,000 [2] - Palantir reported $2.27 billion in total contract value sales in Q2, a 140% increase year-over-year, with a 43% growth in customer count [7] - BigBear.ai's revenue was $32.4 million in Q2, down 18% from the previous year, primarily due to reduced U.S. Army program volumes [8] Contract and Revenue Analysis - Palantir's revenue growth has escalated from approximately $460 million per quarter to $1 billion per quarter over three years [7] - BigBear.ai's largest contract is a $165 million deal with the U.S. Army, which poses a risk if the Army's projects slow down [8] - Palantir closed 157 deals in Q2 valued at $1 million or more, with 66 deals exceeding $5 million and 42 over $10 million [10] Competitive Landscape - IBM is highlighted as a strong competitor in the AI space, leveraging its $34 billion acquisition of Red Hat to enhance its hybrid cloud offerings and AI products [12] - IBM's software revenue reached $7.4 billion in Q2, with hybrid cloud revenue increasing by 16% year-over-year [13] - Amazon Web Services (AWS) leads the global cloud computing market with a 30% share, generating $30.87 billion in revenue and $10.16 billion in operating income [15][16] - Amazon's advertising revenue also saw a significant increase, reaching $15.6 billion in Q2, up 22% from the previous year [17] Future Outlook - The AI sector is expected to shape future business landscapes, with established companies like Palantir, IBM, and Amazon positioned for growth, while BigBear.ai may struggle to keep pace [18]