【环球财经】新预测：美国气候政策转向拖累全球气候治理

Core Insights - In the first half of this year, U.S. greenhouse gas emissions surged, leading to a global increase compared to the same period last year [1] - A new forecast indicates that the recent shift in U.S. climate policy under the new government towards supporting fossil fuels will hinder global climate governance [1] Group 1: U.S. Climate Policy Changes - The U.S. energy and climate policy has undergone the most drastic shift in recent years since President Trump returned to the White House, which will reduce the U.S. emission reduction rate to half of what was achieved in the past 20 years [1] - In the best-case scenario, where fossil fuels become more expensive and renewable energy is rapidly deployed, U.S. greenhouse gas emissions could only decrease by 43% by 2040, significantly lower than the previous administration's commitment to reduce emissions by 61% to 66% from 2005 levels by 2035 [1] Group 2: Global Climate Impact - The shift in U.S. policy is expected to have profound implications for the global climate crisis [1] - In the worst-case scenario, where the development of clean energy is severely constrained by economic and political factors, U.S. greenhouse gas emissions could potentially increase by the end of the 2030s [1]