IAEA Raises Nuclear Power Projections, US Needs More Uranium - enCore Energy (NASDAQ:EU), Centrus Energy (AMEX:LEU)
Benzinga·2025-09-16 10:16

Group 1: Nuclear Power Projections - The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) has revised upward its nuclear power projections for the fifth consecutive time since 2021, indicating a significant shift in momentum for the sector [1] - The IAEA's high-case scenario predicts global nuclear capacity could reach nearly 1,000 gigawatts electric (GW(e)) by 2050, with a quarter of this capacity expected to come from small modular reactors [3] Group 2: Global Consensus and Energy Security - There is a growing global consensus that nuclear power is essential for achieving clean, reliable, and sustainable energy, as highlighted by IAEA Director General Rafael Mariano Grossi [2] - Governments are increasingly viewing nuclear power as a low-carbon baseload option and a hedge against energy insecurity, prompting financial institutions like the World Bank to lift funding bans on nuclear projects in emerging markets [4] Group 3: U.S. Nuclear Landscape - The United States operates 94 reactors that generate about one-fifth of the nation's electricity, with electricity demand projected to double by 2050 due to factors like artificial intelligence and electrification of transport [5] - U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright emphasized the need for larger domestic uranium inventories and indicated a shift away from reliance on Russian enriched uranium [6] Group 4: Uranium Supply and Domestic Operations - U.S. utilities currently hold only around 14 months' worth of uranium supply, significantly less than the 2.5 years held by the European Union and over a decade's worth in China, which poses a risk to U.S. nuclear operators [9] - Domestic uranium suppliers like Energy Fuels and Peninsula Energy have secured contracts with the Department of Energy, while other firms such as Ur-Energy, enCore Energy, and Centrus Energy are also notable players in the uranium market [8] Group 5: Future Investments and Projects - Building secure uranium reserves will be critical as the IAEA anticipates a multi-decade nuclear expansion, requiring a mix of public and private capital [10] - New enrichment projects in Ohio and investments from notable figures like Peter Thiel are seen as signs of momentum in the sector [10]