国际金价突破3690美元关口，半月涨幅超5%

Group 1 - International gold prices have surged significantly, with London spot gold prices exceeding $3,690 per ounce and COMEX gold futures reaching $3,720 per ounce, marking new historical highs [1] - Since August 29, international gold prices have been on an upward trend, breaking through the previous range of $3,200 to $3,450, and have increased by approximately 40% year-to-date, surpassing the strong 27% increase projected for 2024 [1] - Domestic gold jewelry prices have also risen sharply, with major brands reporting prices above 1,080 yuan per gram, reflecting a 50 yuan increase over the past two weeks [1] Group 2 - Key factors driving the continuous rise in gold prices include market expectations of an imminent interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, ongoing geopolitical tensions, and concerns regarding the independence of the Federal Reserve, leading to increased investment in gold as a safe-haven asset [2] - Central banks in emerging markets are actively diversifying their reserve assets, with global central bank gold purchases increasing nearly fivefold since 2022 [2] - Analysts suggest that while gold is currently in an overbought territory and may face short-term correction risks, the long-term bullish fundamentals for gold remain solid, with projections indicating that gold prices could exceed $4,000 per ounce by 2026, and potentially reach $5,000 in the event of an economic recession [2]