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DE or AGCO: Which Farm Equipment Stock Offers Better Upside Now?
ZACKSยท2025-09-16 16:51

Core Insights - Deere & Company and AGCO Corporation are prominent players in the agricultural machinery industry, both investing in advanced technologies like precision agriculture and smart farming solutions [1][2] - Both companies are positioned to benefit from long-term trends such as rising food demand and sustainable farming practices, but face challenges due to weakened farmer sentiment stemming from lower commodity prices and higher costs [2][22] Deere & Company - Deere has a market capitalization of $127 billion and specializes in agricultural, forestry, and turf equipment, with a strong focus on precision farming technology [4] - The company has experienced declining revenues for eight consecutive quarters and expects a continued decline in fiscal 2025, particularly in the large agriculture equipment market, projected to drop by 30% [5][6] - Net income for fiscal 2025 is anticipated to be between $4.75 billion and $5.25 billion, significantly lower than the $7.1 billion reported in fiscal 2024 [7] - Deere is managing production levels and cutting costs to maintain margins, while focusing on innovation and geographic expansion to drive long-term growth [8] - Recent acquisitions, such as GUSS Automation, aim to enhance competitive edge through advanced technology [9] AGCO Corporation - AGCO has a market capitalization of approximately $8.2 billion and offers a range of agricultural machinery and precision agriculture technology [10] - The company has also seen declining revenues and earnings for seven consecutive quarters, with a revised net sales guidance of $9.8 billion for 2025, indicating a 15.5% year-over-year decline [11] - In North America, AGCO expects a 25-30% decline in sales volumes of large agricultural equipment and a 5% decline in small agricultural equipment [12] - AGCO is implementing aggressive production cuts and restructuring actions to focus on core agricultural equipment [12] - The company continues to invest in premium technology and sustainable farming solutions to enhance product offerings and improve margins [13][14] Financial Comparisons - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Deere's fiscal 2025 earnings is $18.58 per share, reflecting a 27.6% year-over-year decline, while AGCO's estimate is $4.77 per share, indicating a 36.4% decline [15] - Year-to-date, AGCO shares have increased by 17.4%, outperforming Deere's 10.8% gain [17] - AGCO trades at a lower forward earnings multiple of 18.20X compared to Deere's 22.84X, making AGCO more attractive from a valuation perspective [19][23]