Microsoft or IonQ: Which Quantum Story is Worth Your Capital Now?
ZACKS·2025-09-16 20:01

Core Insights - Microsoft is integrating quantum technology into its Azure ecosystem, unveiling Majorana 1, the first topological-qubit quantum processor, and making strides in error correction for practical scalability [1][8] - IonQ is focusing on trapped-ion hardware and has surpassed 1,000 patents, enhancing its commercialization efforts through strategic acquisitions [2][11] Microsoft (MSFT) Highlights - Majorana 1 features a "Topological Core" designed to create qubits with hardware-level error protection, aiming for a fault-tolerant quantum prototype [4] - The Majorana 1 processor is part of a broader Azure Quantum stack, which includes cross-platform software and new error-correction codes to simplify qubit decoding [5][10] - Microsoft is expanding Azure Quantum's integration with partner systems, providing a unified cloud portal for diverse hardware access [6][9] - Fiscal 2026 EPS estimates for Microsoft improved from $14.97 to $15.35, indicating a 12.54% increase over fiscal 2025 [14][16] IonQ (IONQ) Highlights - IonQ has formed IonQ Federal to consolidate its government-facing quantum work, reporting over $100 million in contracts with U.S. agencies [11] - The company is pursuing an acquisition strategy to enhance its capabilities, including acquisitions in photonics and space-based technologies [12] - IonQ's cash position is strong, with $656.8 million in cash and investments, projected to reach around $1.6 billion post-equity offering [13] - Earnings estimates for IonQ have worsened, with losses projected to increase from 47 cents to 97 cents per share for 2025, despite a 37.8% growth over the 2024 figure [14] Comparative Performance - Year-to-date, IonQ shares have increased by 41.5%, while Microsoft's shares have grown by 22.9%, both outperforming the S&P 500's 13.7% growth [3] - IonQ's forward price/sales ratio stands at 120.49, significantly higher than Microsoft's, indicating a stretched valuation [16]