Consumers are still strong despite inflation, says TD Cowen's Chen

Consumer Spending Trends - August retail sales exceeded estimates for the third consecutive month, with July's figures revised upward, indicating strong consumer spending despite concerns about the labor market and inflation [1][4] - The consumer market shows resilience, particularly among luxury consumers, while low and middle-income consumers are feeling pressure and are more value-conscious [2][3] Retail Inventory and Pricing - Retail inventories are well-managed, running close to sales rates, which is favorable for margins [6] - Price increases in apparel and other items by 5% or more may lead to a corresponding decrease in unit sales, which is a critical factor to monitor [8] Sector Performance and Stock Recommendations - Companies like Walmart, Costco, and BJ's are favored for their understanding of value, while Cartier and Richemont are noted for their strong pricing power [9] - Caution is advised for certain mall sectors and department stores, particularly those with middle and low-income exposure, such as Macy's and Target [10] Beauty Sector Insights - E.L.F. Beauty is highlighted as a favorite investment due to its innovative approach, while Ulta Beauty is on hold despite having a strong management team [11][12] - The beauty sector remains vibrant, but there are mixed trends as consumers are becoming more selective in their spending [12]