美国突征关税亚洲PET市场陷入动荡

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. has imposed tariffs on PET starting September 8, causing turmoil in the Asian PET market and prompting producers to reassess the impact on trade flows [1][2] Group 1: Impact on Asian Producers - Asian PET producers, previously benefiting from tariff exemptions, are now facing challenges in maintaining competitive pricing for exports to the U.S. [1] - Southeast Asian PET producers are heavily reliant on U.S. demand, making the tariff a significant negative impact on their operations [1] - The price of recycled PET in Southeast Asia was reported at $840 per ton on September 9, which may further depress market prices [1] Group 2: Trade Flow Adjustments - Some Asian producers may redirect their exports to India, which is already experiencing weak domestic demand for PET [1] - The potential influx of cheaper PET into India could exacerbate the already struggling Indian PET market [1] Group 3: Upstream Effects - The tariffs are expected to weaken the demand for upstream raw materials such as PTA and ethylene glycol, leading to a pessimistic market sentiment [1] - Indian producers have reduced their operating rates due to high costs and weak global demand, with the overall operating rate of Indian PET facilities at approximately 70% [1] Group 4: Cost Competitiveness - The imposition of tariffs on para-xylene, PTA, and PET by the U.S. is likely to force adjustments in procurement strategies among affected companies [2] - Cost competitiveness will be a dominant factor influencing trade flows in the coming months, with current offshore prices for Northeast Asia PET at $765 per ton and Southeast Asia at $850 per ton as of September 3 [2]