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招商证券国际:医疗器械行业扰动因素逐步改善 关注国产替代与出海拓展两大主线
智通财经网·2025-09-17 09:04

Core Viewpoint - The medical device industry is expected to experience a structural recovery and differentiation in the first half of 2025, with overall revenue declining by 3.8% year-on-year and net profit attributable to the parent company decreasing by 12.8% [1][2]. Industry Overview - In the first half of 2025, over 53% of the 129 analyzed medical device companies reported revenue growth, with 16% exceeding 20% growth [2]. - The overall gross margin for the medical device industry was 50.7%, a decrease of 1.6 percentage points year-on-year, while the operating cash flow fell by 5.4% [2]. Future Outlook - The medical device industry in China is anticipated to enter a new development phase from the second half of 2025 to 2026, driven by improved internal policies and external market expansion [3]. - Policy improvements include rationalization of procurement rules and increased support for medical equipment upgrades, which are expected to boost demand for domestic mid-to-high-end equipment [3]. Global Expansion - Chinese medical devices are transitioning from a cost advantage to a combination of technological and cost-effectiveness advantages, with significant breakthroughs in overseas markets [4]. - Companies are enhancing their overseas operations through localized strategies, leading to an increase in overseas revenue share [4]. Investment Recommendations - Companies with low valuations and clear performance improvements are recommended, such as Mindray Medical and New Industries, which are positioned to benefit from policy changes and post-pandemic demand recovery [6][7]. - Long-term growth opportunities are highlighted for companies like United Imaging and MicroPort, which have strong technological barriers and clear growth paths [6][7]. Sector-Specific Insights - The medical equipment sector is driven by procurement recovery and domestic substitution, with key players including United Imaging and MicroPort [8]. - High-value consumables are benefiting from reduced procurement impacts and innovation, with companies like Huatai Medical and MicroPort leading the way [8]. - In vitro diagnostics are seeing growth from overseas markets and domestic recovery, with Mindray Medical and New Industries as key players [8]. Catalysts - Key events to watch include the rollout of new equipment upgrade policies, procurement adjustments, and trade negotiations [9].