世贸组织报告：人工智能有望显著推动全球贸易增长

Core Insights - The World Trade Organization (WTO) predicts that with appropriate policy support, the application of artificial intelligence (AI) could drive global trade growth by nearly 40% by 2040 [1] - The report indicates that global trade volume is expected to increase by 34% to 37% and global GDP by 12% to 13% by 2040, depending on policy and technological advancements [1] - The WTO emphasizes the significant potential of AI in reducing trade costs and enhancing productivity, but highlights the uneven access to AI technology and digital trade participation among economies [1] Trade and AI Development - Trade can facilitate access to AI and the necessary investments for its development, promoting innovation dissemination and opening new development pathways [1] - To realize the potential of AI in trade, stakeholders must consciously take actions to bridge the digital divide and promote regulatory consistency [1] Policy Recommendations - The report notes a dramatic increase in restrictions on AI-related goods, from 130 measures in 2012 to nearly 500 by 2024, urging the need for open and predictable trade policies [1] - Strengthening international cooperation, particularly in the intersection of AI and trade, is essential for broader participation in AI development across economies [1] - The WTO can play a central role in ensuring that AI supports inclusive trade-led growth [1]