化工板块逆袭翻红！PPI回升+政策加码，化工行业周期见底？

Group 1 - The chemical sector experienced a reversal and rally on September 17, with the chemical ETF (516020) opening low but later rising to close with a gain of 0.4% [1] - Key stocks in the sector included Jinfa Technology, which hit the daily limit, Guangdong Hongda rising over 9%, and Hangyang Co. increasing by over 3% [1] - The chemical ETF (516020) has seen significant inflows, with net subscriptions exceeding 810 million yuan in the last 10 trading days and a total of 1.78 billion yuan in the last 20 days [2] Group 2 - Institutions noted a favorable macroeconomic environment, with the chemical cycle bottoming out and sufficient safety margins in the sector [3] - The current period is characterized by a low recovery point for industry profitability and PPI, suggesting potential for companies with high profit elasticity [3] - The fixed asset growth rate in the basic chemical industry is expected to turn positive by Q4 2023, with total fixed assets projected to reach 14,222 billion yuan by Q2 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 14.5% [3] Group 3 - The chemical industry is anticipated to see a phase of improvement as the "anti-involution" policies take effect, particularly in sub-industries like pesticides and organic silicon [4] - Despite overall weak performance in the chemical sector, certain sub-industries have exceeded expectations, with investment opportunities identified in glyphosate, fertilizers, and high-dividend assets [5] - The chemical ETF (516020) tracks the CSI sub-sector chemical industry index, covering various segments and concentrating nearly 50% of its holdings in large-cap stocks [5]