美股前瞻 | 三大股指期货涨跌不一 美联储利率决议重磅来袭

Market Movements - US stock index futures showed mixed results with Dow futures up by 0.07% while S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures down by 0.04% and 0.07% respectively [1] - European indices had varied performances with Germany's DAX up by 0.04%, UK's FTSE 100 up by 0.23%, while France's CAC40 down by 0.24% and the Euro Stoxx 50 down by 0.10% [2][3] - WTI crude oil fell by 0.64% to $64.11 per barrel, and Brent crude oil decreased by 0.60% to $68.06 per barrel [3][4] Federal Reserve and Economic Outlook - The focus has shifted from inflation to the labor market, with expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve to support a weakening US labor market [5] - Market participants are betting on a 50 basis point rate cut, with some traders anticipating a total of 75 basis points in cuts over the remaining FOMC meetings this year [5] - Morgan Stanley's analysis indicates that when the S&P 500 is within 1% of its historical high and the Fed cuts rates, the index averages a 15% increase over the following year [6] Commodity Insights - Gold prices surged past $3,700 per ounce, driven by expectations of significant rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, with forecasts suggesting prices could reach $5,000 if certain market conditions are met [6] - A trader has made a substantial bet that Brent crude oil prices will fall below $50 per barrel by year-end, citing expected oversupply in the market despite geopolitical risks [7] Company News - Tesla reached a confidential settlement regarding the 2019 Autopilot fatality case, agreeing to pay $243 million in compensation [8][9] - NVIDIA is collaborating with OpenAI and other tech giants to invest £11 billion in the UK to advance AI infrastructure [9] - Eli Lilly's oral weight loss drug showed a significant 11.2% weight reduction in clinical trials, potentially reshaping obesity treatment accessibility [10] - AstraZeneca's asthma drug Fasenra failed to meet primary endpoints in a COPD study, marking a setback for the company [10] - GlaxoSmithKline announced a commitment to invest $30 billion in the US over the next five years, emphasizing the US as a priority market [11] - New Fortress Energy secured a $4 billion LNG supply agreement with Puerto Rico, significantly boosting its stock price [11] Economic Data and Events - Upcoming economic data includes US building permits and new housing starts for August, as well as the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and economic forecast [12]