ZACKSยท2025-09-17 14:56Core Insights - Nucor Corporation (NUE) and Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD) are leading steel producers in the U.S., serving critical markets such as construction, automotive, and industrial sectors [1] - U.S. steel prices have declined due to weak demand and high production levels, with hot-rolled coil (HRC) prices falling below $800 per short ton [2] - A comparison of Nucor and Steel Dynamics reveals differing investment prospects amid current market conditions [3] Nucor Corporation (NUE) - Nucor is the largest steel producer in North America, focusing on increasing production capacity to enhance profitability and maintain its low-cost producer status [4] - The company is experiencing strong demand from various sectors, including construction, military, and energy, supported by a healthy order backlog [4] - Nucor has made strategic acquisitions, such as Southwest Data Products and Rytec Corporation, to diversify its offerings and expand into related downstream businesses [5] - The company ended Q2 2025 with liquidity of approximately $3.4 billion and increased its revolving credit facility to $2.25 billion [6] - Nucor has returned around $13.2 billion to shareholders since 2020, with a recent quarterly dividend increase to 55 cents per share [7] - The current dividend yield for Nucor is 1.6%, with a payout ratio of 36% and a five-year annualized dividend growth rate of 7.5% [8] - Nucor faces demand weakness in markets such as heavy equipment and agriculture, which accounted for about 28% of its total shipments in 2024 [9][10] Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD) - Steel Dynamics employs a customer-focused approach and market diversification, positioning itself for future growth [11] - The company is ramping up operations at its new electric arc furnace flat-rolled steel mill in Sinton, TX, with a capacity of approximately three million tons per year [12] - STLD is investing in value-added flat-rolled steel coating lines and a $2.7 billion low-carbon aluminum flat rolled mill, enhancing its growth strategy [13] - The company generated solid cash flow from operations of $1.8 billion in 2024 and ended Q2 2025 with liquidity of around $1.9 billion [14] - Steel Dynamics raised its quarterly dividend by 9% to 50 cents per share and repurchased shares worth $450 million in the first half of 2025 [15] - The automotive sector is significant for STLD, but a slowdown in global automotive production may impact steel consumption in this market [16] Comparative Analysis - Year-to-date, both NUE and STLD stocks have increased by 22.4%, while the Zacks Steel Producers industry rose by 24.1% [17] - STLD trades at a forward 12-month earnings multiple of 11.86, while NUE trades at 14.11, indicating a premium for Nucor [18][19] - Steel Dynamics has a higher return on equity of 11.88% compared to Nucor's 6.65%, reflecting more efficient use of shareholder funds [21] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Nucor's 2025 sales suggests a 5.3% increase, while EPS is expected to decline by 6.5% [22] - For Steel Dynamics, the 2025 sales estimate implies a 4.5% increase, with EPS expected to decline by 5.9% [26] - Both companies are ramping up growth plans, but STLD appears to have a slight edge due to its attractive valuation, higher dividend growth rate, and superior return on equity [28]