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AH溢价处于合理水平 大资金借道公募产品挺进香江
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao·2025-09-17 21:25

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market has seen a significant increase in attractiveness for capital, driven by factors such as the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and the catalyzing effect of the artificial intelligence (AI) industry [1] Fund Performance - The launch of Hong Kong-themed funds has been notable, with the Tianhong Guozheng Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology Index raising over 2.5 billion yuan, setting a record for new fund launches this year [2] - Hong Kong-themed ETFs have also experienced strong inflows, with net inflows exceeding 10 billion yuan since September, particularly in ETFs tracking the Hong Kong Stock Connect Internet Index [2][3] - Notable inflows have been recorded in various indices, including the Hang Seng Technology Index and Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology Index, with net inflows of 67.67 billion yuan and 59.09 billion yuan respectively [3] Southbound Capital Inflows - Southbound capital has accelerated its allocation to Hong Kong stocks, with net purchases exceeding 60 billion HKD in a single week, marking a five-month high [4] - The E Fund Hong Kong Stock Connect Growth Mixed Fund has implemented purchase limits due to its strong performance, with a year-to-date return of 56.21% [4] Market Valuation and AH Premium - The AH premium has reached a low point, leading to discussions about the valuation of Hong Kong stocks. Some analysts believe the current AH premium is reasonable, with potential for further narrowing [1][6] - The Hang Seng Technology Index has recently risen, with significant gains in major tech stocks such as Baidu and Alibaba, indicating a positive market sentiment [6] Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that the AI technology and new consumption sectors have substantial growth potential, which could drive the Hong Kong market upward [7] - Continuous inflows from southbound capital and a low domestic interest rate environment may lead to increased allocations to the Hong Kong market [7] - The potential for further interest rate cuts by the U.S. could enhance global liquidity, supporting the Hong Kong market's growth [7]