25个基点?美联储是否降息?

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on September 16 is crucial as it influences not only U.S. interest rates but also global capital flows and economic policies of other countries [1][7]. Meeting Schedule - FOMC holds eight meetings annually, with four key meetings in March, June, September, and December, where economic projections and the "dot plot" are released, serving as indicators for future monetary policy [2][3]. Meeting Process - The FOMC meeting consists of several steps: economic data presentations, policy discussions, voting on the federal funds rate, and the release of a statement that is closely analyzed by the market [3][4][5][6]. Impact on Interest Rates - FOMC decisions directly affect U.S. dollar interest rates, influencing mortgage rates, corporate financing costs, and savings returns, which are critical for American households [7]. Key Focus Areas - The September meeting is particularly noteworthy due to the potential for a shift in monetary policy, with market speculation about a possible 25 basis point rate cut, which could signal a move towards easing [9][10]. Core Highlights - The meeting will focus on whether to cut rates, the release of the economic projections and dot plot, and the press conference by Chairman Powell, which will address the Fed's independence amid political pressures [10].